Iran vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1966 |
IRN
4 - 1
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
JPN
3 - 1
IRN
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1966 |
IRN
2 - 0
MAS
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
IRN
0 - 0
TUR
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
IRN
9 - 1
PAK
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1966 |
MMR
2 - 2
IDN
49%
21%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1966 |
IDN
3 - 1
TWN
75%
14%
12%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
IDN
0 - 0
VIE
62%
18%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1966 |
IDN
3 - 0
SGP
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1965 |
IDN
0 - 0
KHM
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |