Iran vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1976 |
IRN
2 - 2
ROU
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
IRN
1 - 0
KWT
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1976 |
IRN
2 - 0
CHN
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
IRN
2 - 0
IRQ
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1976 |
IRN
8 - 0
YEM
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1976 |
POL
0 - 0
CUB
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
CUB
4 - 0
CAN
55%
20%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1974 |
ALG
0 - 1
CUB
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1971 |
CUB
0 - 0
JAM
53%
20%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1971 |
JAM
0 - 1
CUB
62%
18%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |