Iran vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 2
IRN
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
IRN
1 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 0
IRN
27%
27%
46%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
IRN
0 - 3
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
KWT
2 - 1
IRN
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
PRK
0 - 0
UAE
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
BHR
0 - 1
PRK
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 1
PRK
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
KWT
2 - 2
PRK
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
KWT
2 - 1
PRK
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |