Iran vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
AZE
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
IRN
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
BHR
0 - 0
IRN
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
BIH
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
IRN
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 2
BHR
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
HKG
0 - 2
PRK
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
GUM
0 - 21
PRK
3%
12%
85%
|
75 | 24 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
TWN
0 - 2
PRK
5%
15%
80%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |