Iran vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
IRQ
0 - 1
IRN
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
BIH
3 - 1
IRN
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
IRN
0 - 0
NGA
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
JOR
0 - 1
BHR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
BHR
4 - 1
KSA
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
BHR
0 - 0
QAT
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
KSA
3 - 0
BHR
51%
27%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
YEM
0 - 0
BHR
15%
23%
62%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |