Iran vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 0
KSA
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 1
UZB
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
IRN
6 - 1
TJK
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRN
17%
27%
57%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BHR
1 - 0
YEM
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
KWT
1 - 1
BHR
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
UAE
6 - 2
BHR
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
AZE
3 - 0
BHR
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
KWT
1 - 0
BHR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |