Iran vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 1
IRN
31%
23%
46%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
3 - 4
IRN
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
0 - 0
IRN
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 2
IRN
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
IRN
3 - 0
THA
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
BHR
3 - 4
JPN
6%
16%
78%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
UZB
2 - 2
BHR
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
BHR
3 - 1
IDN
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
BHR
1 - 1
QAT
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 2
BHR
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |