England vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1958 |
NIR
3 - 3
ENG
29%
22%
49%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1958 |
SUN
1 - 0
ENG
35%
24%
41%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
ENG
2 - 2
AUT
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
0 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
SUN
2 - 2
ENG
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
SUN
3 - 1
HUN
20%
19%
61%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1958 |
CSK
1 - 2
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
92%
5%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1958 |
SUN
1 - 0
ENG
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
88%
8%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |