England vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1948 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
NIR
2 - 6
ENG
24%
20%
56%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
DEN
0 - 0
ENG
40%
20%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
ITA
0 - 4
ENG
61%
18%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
SCO
0 - 2
ENG
36%
22%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SUI
1 - 1
CSK
47%
21%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
SUI
3 - 3
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1948 |
SUI
2 - 1
SCO
43%
22%
35%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
HUN
7 - 4
SUI
82%
11%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
AUT
3 - 1
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |