England vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.2%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.5%
1.9%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
ENG
2 - 0
GEO
92%
6%
1%
|
96 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
ENG
2 - 0
MEX
64%
22%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
ENG
0 - 1
ITA
48%
28%
25%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
GEO
0 - 2
ENG
7%
19%
75%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ENG
2 - 1
POL
69%
20%
11%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
COD
1 - 2
RSA
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
CGO
2 - 0
RSA
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
ZAM
0 - 0
RSA
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
RSA
1 - 0
COD
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
GHA
0 - 0
RSA
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |