England vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
ENG
1 - 2
ESP
70%
20%
10%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
ENG
2 - 1
SUI
85%
12%
3%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
ROU
2 - 1
ENG
27%
26%
47%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
ENG
4 - 0
NOR
87%
10%
2%
|
92 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 2
ENG
46%
24%
30%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
DEN
2 - 1
ROU
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
ISR
2 - 1
ROU
40%
29%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
ROU
2 - 0
POL
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
ROU
2 - 1
ENG
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROU
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |