England vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
ENG
1 - 1
BGR
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
ROU
0 - 0
ENG
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1968 |
ENG
2 - 0
SUN
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1968 |
YUG
1 - 0
ENG
51%
21%
28%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1968 |
BRD
1 - 0
ENG
39%
23%
38%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1968 |
ROU
2 - 0
SUI
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
ROU
0 - 0
ENG
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
POR
3 - 0
ROU
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1968 |
ROU
0 - 0
NED
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1968 |
AUT
1 - 1
ROU
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |