England vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
NIR
0 - 1
ENG
21%
27%
52%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
TUR
0 - 8
ENG
14%
26%
60%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
ENG
5 - 0
FIN
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
ENG
1 - 0
DDR
61%
23%
16%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1984 |
CHI
0 - 0
ENG
25%
27%
48%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
ISR
0 - 0
IRL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1985 |
IRL
1 - 2
ITA
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
DEN
3 - 0
IRL
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
NOR
1 - 0
IRL
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
IRL
1 - 0
SUN
20%
28%
53%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |