England vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1956 |
ENG
5 - 2
DEN
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1956 |
ENG
3 - 0
YUG
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
NIR
1 - 1
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
IRL
3 - 0
GER
39%
22%
39%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1956 |
IRL
2 - 1
DEN
56%
20%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
NED
1 - 4
IRL
57%
19%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
IRL
2 - 2
ESP
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1955 |
IRL
1 - 4
YUG
39%
22%
39%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |