England vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 3
ENG
30%
21%
50%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1949 |
NOR
1 - 4
ENG
33%
20%
47%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
ENG
1 - 3
SCO
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1948 |
ENG
6 - 0
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1949 |
IRL
3 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 0
POR
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
62%
17%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |