England vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ENG
4 - 1
MNE
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
UKR
0 - 0
ENG
18%
23%
59%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
ENG
4 - 0
MDA
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ENG
3 - 2
SCO
80%
15%
6%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
ENG
57%
22%
21%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
UKR
1 - 0
POL
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
SMR
1 - 5
POL
6%
17%
78%
|
88 | 31 | 57 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
MNE
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
POL
3 - 2
DEN
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
MDA
1 - 1
POL
12%
20%
68%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | -1 |