England vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1986 |
ENG
0 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
POR
1 - 0
ENG
38%
25%
36%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 1
ENG
7%
19%
74%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
67%
21%
12%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
POL
1 - 0
POR
67%
19%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
POL
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1986 |
DEN
1 - 0
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
URU
2 - 2
POL
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |