England vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
POL
74%
16%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1986 |
ENG
0 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
POR
1 - 0
ENG
38%
25%
36%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 1
ENG
7%
19%
74%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 2
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
KSA
0 - 0
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
BHR
1 - 2
PAR
6%
18%
76%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |