England vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.4%
3.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1961 |
AUT
3 - 1
ENG
39%
21%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1961 |
ITA
2 - 3
ENG
44%
22%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
POR
1 - 1
ENG
19%
19%
62%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1961 |
ENG
8 - 0
MEX
83%
10%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
ENG
9 - 3
SCO
81%
11%
7%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
POR
6 - 0
LUX
70%
15%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
LUX
0 - 9
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
SUI
2 - 2
LUX
73%
14%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
LUX
5 - 3
FRA
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
LUX
0 - 0
SUI
53%
19%
28%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |