England vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
GEO
0 - 2
ENG
7%
19%
75%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ENG
2 - 1
POL
69%
20%
11%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MDA
0 - 3
ENG
6%
19%
75%
|
95 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1996 |
GER
1 - 1
ENG
46%
25%
29%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1996 |
ENG
0 - 0
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
ITA
2 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
8%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
BIH
2 - 1
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
96 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ITA
1 - 0
GEO
92%
7%
1%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
MDA
1 - 3
ITA
8%
23%
69%
|
96 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1996 |
ITA
0 - 0
GER
58%
24%
17%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |