England vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 0
CSK
72%
19%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
IRL
1 - 1
ENG
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
DEN
3 - 4
ENG
25%
27%
48%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
ENG
4 - 1
HUN
56%
23%
20%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
40%
27%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
BGR
0 - 2
NIR
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
NIR
2 - 1
DEN
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
IRL
0 - 0
NIR
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 0
NIR
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |