England vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
WAL
0 - 4
ENG
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
IRL
1 - 1
ENG
31%
22%
48%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1957 |
DEN
1 - 4
ENG
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1957 |
ENG
5 - 1
IRL
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
NIR
1 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
42%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1957 |
NIR
3 - 0
POR
40%
21%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
ITA
1 - 0
NIR
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1957 |
NIR
0 - 0
WAL
44%
21%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1957 |
POR
1 - 1
NIR
70%
15%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |