England vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
WAL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
20%
52%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1949 |
ENG
0 - 2
IRL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 3
ENG
30%
21%
50%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1949 |
NOR
1 - 4
ENG
33%
20%
47%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
NIR
2 - 8
SCO
36%
22%
41%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1949 |
NIR
0 - 2
WAL
45%
20%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1948 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
NIR
2 - 6
ENG
24%
20%
56%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1948 |
NIR
5 - 0
USA
44%
20%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |