England vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 3
GER
38%
23%
39%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 4
HUN
80%
14%
7%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
23%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
GER
1 - 1
ENG
47%
22%
30%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 0
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 1
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
URU
0 - 1
IRN
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 2
ALG
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
SYR
0 - 3
IRN
15%
24%
61%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |