England vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
ENG
0 - 0
GRC
86%
11%
3%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
80%
15%
5%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1982 |
ENG
9 - 0
LUX
87%
11%
2%
|
92 | 39 | 53 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
GRC
0 - 3
ENG
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
ENG
1 - 2
BRD
42%
26%
32%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
HUN
6 - 2
LUX
93%
5%
2%
|
89 | 39 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
POR
0 - 0
HUN
33%
27%
39%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
LUX
2 - 6
HUN
11%
19%
70%
|
89 | 39 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
FRA
1 - 0
HUN
42%
27%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
HUN
5 - 0
TUR
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |