England vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
NOR
2 - 1
ENG
15%
23%
63%
|
92 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
HUN
1 - 3
ENG
49%
25%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
SUI
2 - 1
ENG
17%
24%
60%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
ENG
0 - 1
SCO
72%
19%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
ENG
0 - 0
WAL
80%
15%
5%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
HUN
4 - 1
NOR
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
84%
12%
4%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
ROU
0 - 0
HUN
37%
26%
38%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
HUN
1 - 3
ENG
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
NOR
1 - 2
HUN
18%
23%
59%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |