England vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
12.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1946 |
ENG
3 - 0
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1946 |
IRL
0 - 1
ENG
33%
21%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
NIR
2 - 7
ENG
22%
20%
58%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1946 |
ENG
4 - 1
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1943 |
ENG
8 - 3
WAL
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 2
NED
38%
21%
42%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
NED
6 - 3
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 6
NED
32%
21%
48%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
NED
4 - 5
LUX
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |