England vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
DEN
0 - 0
ENG
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ISL
0 - 1
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
XXK
0 - 4
ENG
9%
17%
75%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
ENG
7 - 0
MNE
85%
12%
4%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
BGR
0 - 6
ENG
13%
22%
65%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 0
BGR
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
FIN
0 - 1
WAL
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 0
HUN
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
AZE
0 - 2
WAL
17%
27%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
54%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |