England vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1971 |
NIR
0 - 1
ENG
22%
25%
53%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
ENG
5 - 0
MLT
87%
10%
4%
|
92 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1971 |
ENG
3 - 0
GRC
87%
10%
4%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
MLT
0 - 1
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1970 |
ENG
3 - 1
DDR
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1971 |
WAL
0 - 0
SCO
27%
24%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1971 |
WAL
1 - 3
CSK
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1970 |
WAL
0 - 0
ROU
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
SCO
0 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |