England vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
ENG
0 - 0
CSK
79%
13%
8%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
NIR
0 - 2
ENG
19%
20%
61%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
4 - 2
BRD
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 1
POR
87%
8%
4%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 0
ARG
77%
13%
10%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
WAL
1 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
CHI
2 - 0
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
BRA
3 - 1
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
WAL
1 - 4
NIR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |