England vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1982 |
FIN
1 - 4
ENG
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1982 |
ISL
1 - 1
ENG
13%
23%
64%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
30%
27%
43%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1982 |
ENG
2 - 0
NED
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1982 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 1
WAL
68%
21%
11%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 0
BGR
72%
19%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 1
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
FRA
4 - 0
NIR
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1982 |
FRA
2 - 0
ITA
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |