England vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IRL
0 - 2
ENG
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
ENG
57%
21%
22%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
NED
1 - 2
ENG
46%
23%
31%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 1
SUI
61%
21%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVK
77%
16%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GRC
3 - 0
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 2
FIN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
POR
4 - 2
FIN
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
4 - 1
FIN
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |