England vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
LUX
0 - 9
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1960 |
NIR
2 - 5
ENG
20%
20%
61%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
HUN
2 - 0
ENG
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 0
ENG
48%
21%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1960 |
ENG
3 - 3
YUG
70%
16%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
1 - 4
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
0 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
PER
1 - 3
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 0
ENG
48%
21%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |