England vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1969 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
ENG
5 - 0
FRA
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1969 |
ENG
1 - 1
ROU
84%
11%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
ENG
1 - 1
BGR
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1969 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
WAL
3 - 5
SCO
34%
24%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1969 |
SCO
1 - 1
BRD
46%
24%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
CYP
0 - 5
SCO
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
SCO
2 - 1
AUT
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |