England vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
ENG
5 - 1
WAL
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
ENG
4 - 2
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
LUX
0 - 9
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1960 |
NIR
2 - 5
ENG
20%
20%
61%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
HUN
2 - 0
ENG
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
SCO
5 - 2
NIR
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
WAL
2 - 0
SCO
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1960 |
TUR
4 - 2
SCO
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
HUN
3 - 3
SCO
89%
8%
4%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
AUT
4 - 1
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |