England vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1946 |
ENG
8 - 2
NED
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1946 |
ENG
3 - 0
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1946 |
IRL
0 - 1
ENG
33%
21%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
NIR
2 - 7
ENG
22%
20%
58%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1946 |
ENG
4 - 1
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1946 |
SCO
0 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
9%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1946 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCO
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1946 |
SCO
3 - 1
SUI
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1946 |
SCO
2 - 2
BEL
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
SCO
1 - 2
ENG
44%
21%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |