England vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
87%
8%
4%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
ENG
9 - 0
GER
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1908 |
BOH
0 - 4
ENG
43%
23%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1908 |
HUN
0 - 7
ENG
43%
23%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
SCO
5 - 0
IDI
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1909 |
WAL
3 - 2
SCO
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
IDI
0 - 5
SCO
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |