England vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1902 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1902 |
IDI
0 - 1
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1902 |
WAL
0 - 0
ENG
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1902 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1902 |
SCO
5 - 1
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1902 |
IDI
1 - 5
SCO
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |