England vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.7%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
SWE
2 - 2
ENG
22%
23%
54%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2006 |
ENG
2 - 0
TTO
93%
6%
1%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
ENG
1 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
ENG
6 - 0
JAM
82%
14%
4%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
ENG
3 - 1
HUN
77%
16%
7%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
ECU
0 - 3
GER
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2006 |
ECU
3 - 0
CRC
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2006 |
POL
0 - 2
ECU
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
MKD
2 - 1
ECU
30%
29%
41%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
ECU
1 - 1
COL
41%
29%
30%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |