England vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
ENG
4 - 2
CSK
66%
22%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
BRA
41%
28%
32%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
ENG
2 - 1
YUG
58%
23%
19%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
57%
25%
17%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
POL
0 - 0
ENG
37%
28%
36%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
DEN
1 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
DEN
33%
30%
37%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1990 |
UAE
1 - 1
DEN
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
ROU
3 - 1
DEN
47%
28%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
DEN
3 - 0
ROU
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |