England vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
AUT
4 - 3
ENG
32%
28%
41%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SWE
0 - 0
ENG
30%
27%
43%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
BGR
0 - 3
ENG
23%
27%
51%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
ENG
3 - 1
SCO
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1979 |
ENG
0 - 0
WAL
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
FIN
0 - 0
DEN
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1979 |
DEN
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
44%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
DEN
4 - 0
NIR
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
IRL
2 - 0
DEN
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |