England vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1956 |
ENG
3 - 0
YUG
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
NIR
1 - 1
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1956 |
GER
1 - 3
ENG
54%
20%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
FIN
1 - 5
ENG
29%
20%
50%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
67%
16%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SWE
1 - 1
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1956 |
IRL
2 - 1
DEN
56%
20%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
FIN
0 - 4
DEN
44%
21%
35%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1956 |
DEN
2 - 5
SUN
83%
10%
7%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |