England vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
20%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
POR
3 - 5
ENG
29%
20%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
35%
22%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1949 |
ENG
2 - 0
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1949 |
ENG
9 - 2
NIR
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CHI
2 - 1
URU
42%
21%
37%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
CHI
1 - 5
URU
44%
21%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
74%
14%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 0
CHI
45%
22%
34%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
CHI
3 - 1
URU
39%
21%
40%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |