England vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
IRL
1 - 1
ENG
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
DEN
3 - 4
ENG
25%
27%
48%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
ENG
4 - 1
HUN
56%
23%
20%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
40%
27%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 0
NIR
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
CSK
3 - 0
ITA
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CSK
3 - 4
BRD
38%
27%
36%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
SWE
1 - 3
CSK
51%
26%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
DDR
2 - 1
CSK
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
SWE
0 - 0
CSK
53%
26%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |