England vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
ENG
1 - 1
POR
64%
22%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
ENG
3 - 1
SUI
65%
22%
14%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
NOR
0 - 0
ENG
26%
28%
46%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ENG
0 - 0
COL
71%
20%
9%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ENG
1 - 3
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
GER
3 - 1
BGR
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
GEO
2 - 1
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 0
ALB
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ALB
1 - 1
BGR
14%
22%
64%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 2
GER
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |