England vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 5
ENG
18%
25%
57%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
AUT
4 - 3
ENG
32%
28%
41%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SWE
0 - 0
ENG
30%
27%
43%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
BGR
0 - 3
ENG
23%
27%
51%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BGR
3 - 0
DEN
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
IRL
3 - 0
BGR
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
BGR
0 - 3
ENG
23%
27%
51%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
BGR
1 - 0
IRL
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
NIR
2 - 0
BGR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |