England vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
4.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.2%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.7%
2.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
ENG
3 - 1
ARG
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1962 |
HUN
2 - 1
ENG
78%
12%
10%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
PER
0 - 4
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1962 |
ENG
3 - 1
SUI
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
SCO
2 - 0
ENG
32%
22%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
HUN
6 - 1
BGR
91%
6%
3%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
BGR
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
AUT
2 - 0
BGR
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
BEL
4 - 0
BGR
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
BGR
1 - 0
FRA
47%
23%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |