England vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
BRD
2 - 1
ENG
66%
21%
14%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
ENG
2 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
LUX
0 - 2
ENG
10%
20%
70%
|
90 | 43 | 47 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1977 |
ENG
0 - 0
SUI
87%
11%
3%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
URU
0 - 0
ENG
26%
28%
47%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 1
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
FRA
1 - 0
BRA
25%
27%
48%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
8 - 0
BOL
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 2
FRA
77%
17%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |