England vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ENG
1 - 2
SCO
78%
13%
10%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1963 |
FRA
5 - 2
ENG
32%
22%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
ENG
4 - 0
WAL
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
ENG
1 - 1
FRA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
BRD
1 - 2
BRA
41%
23%
37%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
BRA
22%
21%
57%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
FRA
2 - 3
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
5 - 1
BRA
22%
22%
57%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
18%
21%
62%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |