England vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
UKR
1 - 0
ENG
19%
25%
55%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ENG
5 - 1
CRO
65%
21%
14%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVN
83%
13%
4%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
NED
2 - 2
ENG
49%
26%
25%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ENG
6 - 0
AND
96%
4%
1%
|
99 | 48 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BLR
4 - 0
KAZ
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
BLR
0 - 0
UKR
37%
29%
35%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
BLR
74%
18%
8%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BLR
1 - 3
CRO
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
BLR
2 - 2
MDA
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |